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Red57
607110.7
777213.9
571236.6
Blue43
550911.8
477619.0
495620.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62452040801005743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.2
31.331.5
Auto14.9
Teleop18.7
End2.9
red by 15.7
4956
#10
20.80.1
15.715.6
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Second
7772
#23
13.90.2
13.113.3
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 5.1
19.00.1
17.117.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.5
End0.7
Third
6071
#15
10.70.2
9.39.5
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.4
blue by 1.1
5509
#22
11.80.1
9.69.5
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed