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Red20
607316.9
97317.8
97592.7
Blue30
609714.4
96614.8
92276.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242804060801001201402030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6073
#12
16.90.4
12.812.4
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End2.1
red by 2.5
6097
#29
14.40.2
13.513.7
Auto7.2
Teleop6.0
End1.2
Second
9731
#39
7.80.7
9.48.7
Auto6.1
Teleop1.0
End0.8
red by 1.7
9227
#38
6.10.2
4.04.2
Auto2.4
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Third
9759
#40
2.70.4
0.3-0.1
Auto0.5
Teleop1.5
End0.7
blue by 2.0
9661
#37
4.80.3
7.67.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed