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Red13
377018.4
725011.5
43826.7
Blue32
522910.7
560322.4
749118.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384902060801001332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#19
18.41.7
15.113.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 4.0
5603
#11
22.40.7
19.819.1
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Second
7250
#28
11.51.5
11.610.1
Auto5.6
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 6.6
18.10.8
12.711.9
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Third
4382
#35
6.72.5
8.86.3
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.9
blue by 4.0
5229
#24
10.71.2
10.69.3
Auto2.4
Teleop7.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed