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Red32
966214.4
609714.4
550911.8
Blue38
55048.8
52318.9
55389.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433202060801003238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6097
#29
14.40.5
13.613.1
Auto7.2
Teleop6.0
End1.2
red by 5.2
5538
#32
9.20.5
8.18.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Second
9662
#26
14.40.5
14.113.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 5.4
5231
#36
8.90.9
11.712.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.5
End0.8
Third
5509
#22
11.80.5
9.89.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.8
red by 2.9
5504
#31
8.80.5
10.611.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed