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Red58
521623.2
560322.4
607110.7
Blue48
43826.7
508429.5
819316.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5644020801001205848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.6
19.920.5
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.5
blue by 6.4
29.50.5
23.423.9
Auto13.1
Teleop13.9
End2.5
Second
5603
#11
22.40.6
20.421.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 5.7
8193
#27
16.70.5
13.714.2
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End1.3
Third
6071
#15
10.70.6
9.09.6
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.4
red by 3.9
4382
#35
6.70.8
3.84.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed