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Red36
96614.8
261913.7
675318.3
Blue90
542421.2
495620.8
725011.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374902060801003690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6753
#20
18.30.0
17.717.7
Auto7.5
Teleop9.2
End1.7
blue by 2.8
21.21.8
16.518.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Second
2619
#13
13.70.0
9.99.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End2.5
blue by 7.1
4956
#10
20.81.8
15.617.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Third
9661
#37
4.80.1
7.87.8
Auto2.8
Teleop1.5
End0.4
blue by 6.8
7250
#28
11.51.8
10.912.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed