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Red77
477619.0
377018.4
851724.3
Blue33
516625.3
97317.8
65337.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5842020801001201407733

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.7
17.118.9
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
blue by 1.1
25.30.5
22.522.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Second
19.01.7
18.220.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 11.2
9731
#39
7.80.8
8.57.8
Auto6.1
Teleop1.0
End0.8
Third
3770
#19
18.41.7
15.617.3
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.8
red by 11.3
6533
#30
7.10.8
9.08.3
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed