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Red43
606718.9
607316.9
519310.7
Blue28
777213.9
97592.7
437718.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45290204060801004328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6067
#21
18.90.3
15.615.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End0.6
red by 1.0
4377
#16
18.00.0
13.413.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.5
End2.3
Second
6073
#12
16.90.3
13.413.7
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End2.1
red by 3.0
7772
#23
13.90.0
12.412.4
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Third
5193
#18
10.70.3
9.910.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
red by 8.0
9759
#40
2.70.0
2.22.2
Auto0.5
Teleop1.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed