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Red44
495620.8
675318.3
966214.4
Blue65
609714.4
43826.7
511434.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions545445505560654465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4956
#10
20.80.3
17.417.1
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
blue by 14.0
34.81.1
31.032.1
Auto14.1
Teleop19.5
End1.2
Second
6753
#20
18.30.3
17.717.4
Auto7.5
Teleop9.2
End1.7
red by 3.9
6097
#29
14.41.1
13.114.2
Auto7.2
Teleop6.0
End1.2
Third
9662
#26
14.40.3
13.613.3
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 7.6
4382
#35
6.71.8
4.66.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed