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Red51
924520.4
96614.8
522910.7
Blue61
377018.4
607110.7
542421.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355202060801005161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#17
20.40.5
16.416.8
Auto5.6
Teleop13.5
End1.4
blue by 0.8
21.21.1
18.319.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Second
5229
#24
10.70.8
9.610.4
Auto2.4
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 7.7
3770
#19
18.41.1
17.318.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Third
9661
#37
4.80.8
7.88.6
Auto2.8
Teleop1.5
End0.4
blue by 5.9
6071
#15
10.71.1
9.610.6
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsEarned