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Red58
55389.2
508429.5
606718.9
Blue60
607316.9
521623.2
261913.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56472040801005860

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.5
25.425.9
Auto13.1
Teleop13.9
End2.5
red by 6.4
23.21.1
20.121.2
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Second
6067
#21
18.90.5
15.916.5
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End0.6
red by 2.1
6073
#12
16.91.1
13.714.8
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End2.1
Third
5538
#32
9.20.5
8.59.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 4.6
2619
#13
13.71.1
9.911.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned