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Red49
65337.1
749118.1
477619.0
Blue43
97592.7
675318.3
92276.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions522104060801004943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.3
19.619.3
Auto6.8
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 0.7
6753
#20
18.31.2
17.418.6
Auto7.5
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Second
18.10.3
14.914.6
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End1.0
red by 12.0
9227
#38
6.11.2
3.54.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Third
6533
#30
7.10.5
8.88.3
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End0.6
red by 4.3
9759
#40
2.71.2
2.23.4
Auto0.5
Teleop1.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed