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Red56
97317.8
571236.6
66318.0
Blue62
550911.8
43826.7
560322.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5638020801005662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.4
34.134.5
Auto14.9
Teleop18.7
End2.9
red by 14.2
5603
#11
22.40.7
21.021.7
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Second
6631
#33
8.00.4
6.36.7
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 3.7
5509
#22
11.80.7
9.29.9
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Third
9731
#39
7.80.6
7.78.4
Auto6.1
Teleop1.0
End0.8
red by 1.1
4382
#35
6.71.2
6.47.6
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned