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Red79
516625.3
966214.4
924520.4
Blue43
522910.7
495620.8
96855.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions633202040801001207943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.4
23.424.8
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End3.5
red by 4.5
4956
#10
20.80.3
17.117.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Second
9245
#17
20.41.4
16.818.2
Auto5.6
Teleop13.5
End1.4
red by 9.7
5229
#24
10.70.5
10.411.0
Auto2.4
Teleop7.5
End0.9
Third
9662
#26
14.41.4
13.314.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End1.8
red by 8.7
9685
#34
5.70.3
5.65.9
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed