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Red55
819316.7
377018.4
515013.3
Blue44
542421.2
55048.8
777213.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474730405060705544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3770
#19
18.40.8
18.419.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.8
blue by 2.8
21.20.1
19.319.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Second
8193
#27
16.70.8
14.114.9
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End1.3
red by 2.8
7772
#23
13.90.1
12.412.5
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.0
Third
5150
#25
13.30.8
10.311.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End0.1
red by 4.5
5504
#31
8.80.1
10.710.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed