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Red98
511434.8
598216.6
851724.3
Blue26
96614.8
607110.7
52318.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions782902040601001201409826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.81.8
32.133.9
Auto14.1
Teleop19.5
End1.2
red by 24.1
6071
#15
10.71.2
10.69.4
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.4
Second
24.31.8
20.322.0
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
red by 15.3
5231
#36
8.92.0
12.510.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.5
End0.8
Third
5982
#14
16.61.8
12.113.9
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End2.9
red by 11.8
9661
#37
4.82.0
8.66.7
Auto2.8
Teleop1.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned