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Red63
777213.9
508429.5
96614.8
Blue53
675318.3
66318.0
924520.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50480204060801001206353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.8
25.926.7
Auto13.1
Teleop13.9
End2.5
red by 9.1
9245
#17
20.40.4
18.217.8
Auto5.6
Teleop13.5
End1.4
Second
7772
#23
13.90.8
12.513.3
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 4.4
6753
#20
18.30.4
18.618.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Third
9661
#37
4.81.2
6.77.9
Auto2.8
Teleop1.5
End0.4
blue by 3.2
6631
#33
8.00.4
6.76.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed