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Red41
43826.7
52318.9
521623.2
Blue44
55389.2
519310.7
542421.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434325303540505560654144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.1
21.221.3
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.5
red by 2.0
21.20.0
19.419.5
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Second
5231
#36
8.90.2
10.510.7
Auto4.6
Teleop3.5
End0.8
blue by 1.8
5193
#18
10.70.0
9.910.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Third
4382
#35
6.70.2
7.67.7
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.9
blue by 2.5
5538
#32
9.20.0
9.09.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed