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Red55
725011.5
522910.7
516625.3
Blue51
560322.4
609714.4
598216.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5455304050607080905551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.3
24.825.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End3.5
red by 3.0
5603
#11
22.40.1
21.721.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Second
7250
#28
11.50.3
13.013.3
Auto5.6
Teleop5.1
End0.9
blue by 5.0
5982
#14
16.60.1
13.914.0
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End2.9
Third
5229
#24
10.70.4
11.011.4
Auto2.4
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 3.7
6097
#29
14.40.1
14.014.1
Auto7.2
Teleop6.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed