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Red37
607110.7
96855.7
924520.4
Blue67
515013.3
261913.7
606718.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37440102030506070803767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#17
20.40.5
17.817.4
Auto5.6
Teleop13.5
End1.4
red by 1.5
6067
#21
18.91.2
17.018.2
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End0.6
Second
6071
#15
10.70.5
9.49.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.4
blue by 3.1
2619
#13
13.71.2
10.812.0
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End2.5
Third
9685
#34
5.70.5
6.76.2
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End1.0
blue by 7.6
5150
#25
13.31.2
11.112.3
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned