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Red48
521623.2
92276.1
519310.7
Blue44
52318.9
675318.3
377018.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37552060801004844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.5
21.321.8
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.5
red by 4.8
3770
#19
18.40.2
18.818.6
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Second
5193
#18
10.70.5
10.010.5
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
blue by 7.6
6753
#20
18.30.2
18.218.0
Auto7.5
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Third
9227
#38
6.10.5
4.34.8
Auto2.4
Teleop2.9
End0.8
blue by 2.8
5231
#36
8.90.4
10.710.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed