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Red43
65337.1
550911.8
819316.7
Blue11
96614.8
55389.2
43826.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382601020305060704311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8193
#27
16.70.7
14.915.6
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End1.3
red by 7.5
5538
#32
9.20.9
9.18.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Second
5509
#22
11.80.7
10.210.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.8
red by 5.1
4382
#35
6.71.3
7.76.4
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.9
Third
6533
#30
7.11.0
7.68.6
Auto4.5
Teleop2.0
End0.6
red by 2.3
9661
#37
4.81.3
7.96.6
Auto2.8
Teleop1.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed