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Red58
777213.9
607316.9
477619.0
Blue67
516625.3
511434.8
560322.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4796204060801201405867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.00.7
19.320.0
Auto6.8
Teleop11.5
End0.7
blue by 15.8
34.81.0
33.932.8
Auto14.1
Teleop19.5
End1.2
Second
6073
#12
16.90.7
15.616.2
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End2.1
blue by 8.5
25.31.0
25.024.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Third
7772
#23
13.90.7
13.313.9
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 8.4
5603
#11
22.41.0
21.820.7
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed