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Red55
607110.7
851724.3
97592.7
Blue29
725011.5
966214.4
55048.8
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374302060801005529

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.4
22.223.6
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
red by 9.9
9662
#26
14.40.6
14.213.6
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Second
6071
#15
10.71.4
9.010.4
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.4
blue by 0.9
7250
#28
11.50.6
13.312.7
Auto5.6
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Third
9759
#40
2.71.4
2.94.3
Auto0.5
Teleop1.5
End0.7
blue by 6.1
5504
#31
8.80.6
10.49.8
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed