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Red67
495620.8
598216.6
819316.7
Blue53
66318.0
606718.9
377018.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554702040801001206753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4956
#10
20.81.2
19.020.2
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
red by 1.9
6067
#21
18.90.6
18.218.8
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End0.6
Second
8193
#27
16.71.2
15.616.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End1.3
blue by 1.7
3770
#19
18.40.6
18.619.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Third
5982
#14
16.61.2
14.415.6
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End2.9
red by 8.6
6631
#33
8.00.6
6.87.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed