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Red31
96855.7
515013.3
43826.7
Blue64
675318.3
609714.4
437718.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2258040801003164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5150
#25
13.30.4
11.612.1
Auto5.9
Teleop7.3
End0.1
blue by 5.0
6753
#20
18.30.4
18.018.4
Auto7.5
Teleop9.2
End1.7
Second
4382
#35
6.70.6
6.47.0
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.9
blue by 11.3
4377
#16
18.00.4
15.115.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.5
End2.3
Third
9685
#34
5.70.4
6.26.7
Auto3.0
Teleop1.7
End1.0
blue by 8.7
6097
#29
14.40.4
15.115.5
Auto7.2
Teleop6.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed