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Red76
477619.0
542421.2
924520.4
Blue39
519310.7
550911.8
97317.8
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69270204060801001207639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.20.1
19.919.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End3.0
red by 9.4
5509
#22
11.80.4
10.811.2
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.8
Second
9245
#17
20.40.1
17.417.3
Auto5.6
Teleop13.5
End1.4
red by 9.7
5193
#18
10.70.4
10.510.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End0.7
Third
19.00.1
20.019.9
Auto6.8
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 11.2
9731
#39
7.80.5
8.18.6
Auto6.1
Teleop1.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed