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Red86
560322.4
542421.2
508429.5
Blue56
511434.8
92276.1
966214.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795520401001208656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.9
28.028.9
Auto13.1
Teleop13.9
End2.5
blue by 5.3
34.80.2
33.834.1
Auto14.1
Teleop19.5
End1.2
Second
5603
#11
22.40.9
20.621.5
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.9
red by 8.0
9662
#26
14.40.2
13.413.7
Auto5.3
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Third
21.20.9
19.820.7
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End3.0
red by 15.1
9227
#38
6.10.2
5.25.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed