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Red55
55389.2
66318.0
516625.3
Blue27
437718.0
607110.7
55048.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443902060805527

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.30.9
23.924.9
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End3.5
red by 7.4
4377
#16
18.00.6
15.514.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.5
End2.3
Second
5538
#32
9.20.9
7.68.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End0.9
blue by 1.5
6071
#15
10.70.6
10.39.7
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.4
Third
6631
#33
8.00.9
7.48.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 0.8
5504
#31
8.80.6
9.79.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed