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Red39
43826.7
777213.9
606718.9
Blue50
725011.5
96614.8
477619.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434102060801003950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6067
#21
18.90.0
17.918.0
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End0.6
blue by 0.1
19.00.5
19.619.2
Auto6.8
Teleop11.5
End0.7
Second
7772
#23
13.90.0
13.513.5
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.0
red by 2.4
7250
#28
11.50.5
12.111.6
Auto5.6
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Third
4382
#35
6.70.0
7.07.1
Auto3.5
Teleop2.3
End0.9
red by 1.9
9661
#37
4.80.5
5.34.8
Auto2.8
Teleop1.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed