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Red56
675318.3
924520.4
261913.7
Blue83
437718.0
560322.4
749118.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57622040801001205683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9245
#17
20.40.1
20.320.4
Auto5.6
Teleop13.5
End1.4
blue by 2.0
5603
#11
22.40.6
21.322.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Second
6753
#20
18.30.1
18.318.3
Auto7.5
Teleop9.2
End1.7
red by 0.2
18.10.6
17.117.7
Auto8.2
Teleop8.9
End1.0
Third
2619
#13
13.70.1
13.713.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.9
End2.5
blue by 4.2
4377
#16
18.00.6
16.917.6
Auto5.2
Teleop10.5
End2.3