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Red37
607316.9
607110.7
777213.9
Blue32
377018.4
495620.8
550911.8
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436120801003732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6073
#12
16.90.1
16.716.6
Auto7.5
Teleop7.3
End2.1
blue by 3.9
4956
#10
20.80.6
21.420.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Second
7772
#23
13.90.1
13.813.7
Auto7.3
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 4.5
3770
#19
18.40.6
19.018.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.2
End1.8
Third
6071
#15
10.70.1
10.510.4
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End1.4
blue by 1.1
5509
#22
11.80.6
12.311.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End1.8