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Red99
511434.8
571236.6
522910.7
Blue54
598216.6
516625.3
542421.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions956340801001201409954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.60.4
36.536.8
Auto14.9
Teleop18.7
End2.9
red by 11.2
25.30.4
24.724.3
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End3.5
Second
34.80.4
34.735.1
Auto14.1
Teleop19.5
End1.2
red by 13.6
21.20.4
20.520.1
Auto7.4
Teleop10.7
End3.0
Third
5229
#24
10.70.4
10.611.0
Auto2.4
Teleop7.5
End0.9
blue by 5.8
5982
#14
16.60.4
15.915.5
Auto3.7
Teleop10.0
End2.9