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Red65
477619.0
508429.5
819316.7
Blue80
521623.2
851724.3
606718.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73714060801001206580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.0
29.629.6
Auto13.1
Teleop13.9
End2.5
red by 5.2
24.30.4
23.523.9
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Second
19.00.0
19.119.1
Auto6.8
Teleop11.5
End0.7
blue by 4.1
23.20.4
22.422.8
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.5
Third
8193
#27
16.70.0
16.816.8
Auto7.3
Teleop8.1
End1.3
blue by 2.3
6067
#21
18.90.4
18.218.6
Auto6.6
Teleop11.7
End0.6