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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306302040801003347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#16
15.20.4
15.114.7
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End0.5
blue by 13.0
67
#2
28.20.7
21.420.7
Auto10.4
Teleop12.1
End5.6
Second
9765
#35
7.30.4
8.98.5
Auto2.2
Teleop5.4
End-0.3
blue by 15.3
22.70.7
15.915.2
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End1.3
Third
9735
#36
3.60.4
6.76.3
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End1.2
blue by 11.5
6344
#18
15.00.7
15.915.2
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed