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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293910205060750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5478
#31
7.42.4
10.37.8
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End0.2
blue by 21.5
28.91.4
19.520.8
Auto10.4
Teleop16.6
End1.8
Second
9204
#37
6.12.4
9.06.6
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End0.1
blue by 1.0
4961
#22
7.11.4
7.38.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End1.3
Third
9685
#28
5.32.4
7.75.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End1.4
red by 1.8
8124
#32
3.51.4
7.08.4
Auto2.9
Teleop0.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed