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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47482030406070802035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#13
19.52.5
19.917.3
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.7
blue by 1.8
3322
#10
21.31.5
16.114.6
Auto11.3
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Second
308
#14
13.02.5
14.612.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 0.2
5424
#20
13.11.5
16.414.9
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Third
8774
#27
9.32.5
8.25.7
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.6
red by 3.5
4384
#19
5.81.5
11.09.5
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed