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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32500204060801552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6861
#24
15.11.8
15.413.6
Auto8.2
Teleop5.8
End1.0
blue by 14.7
503
#5
29.81.0
19.820.8
Auto11.1
Teleop17.6
End1.1
Second
8364
#29
7.31.8
7.25.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.7
blue by 15.3
22.71.0
15.216.1
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End1.3
Third
4961
#22
7.11.8
8.66.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End1.3
red by 3.6
8124
#32
3.51.0
8.49.3
Auto2.9
Teleop0.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed