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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353110204050602831

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.6
15.314.7
Auto9.4
Teleop8.7
End2.5
red by 6.2
14.30.3
14.915.1
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Second
8774
#27
9.30.6
5.75.1
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.6
red by 2.0
9765
#35
7.30.3
8.58.8
Auto2.2
Teleop5.4
End-0.3
Third
7220
#34
6.80.6
10.29.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End1.5
red by 1.6
9685
#28
5.30.3
5.35.5
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed