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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5239203060704039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.6
20.820.3
Auto10.4
Teleop16.6
End1.8
red by 3.1
25.80.3
15.315.5
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End2.3
Second
548
#16
15.20.6
14.714.2
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End0.5
red by 3.6
7660
#23
11.60.3
13.613.8
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End1.9
Third
4384
#19
5.80.6
9.58.9
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.6
blue by 2.8
2224
#12
8.70.3
7.78.0
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed