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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2338010305060703039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9455
#30
10.80.2
5.45.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End1.8
blue by 7.0
1701
#15
17.90.7
15.716.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End2.2
Second
8519
#33
10.60.2
10.610.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
blue by 4.5
5167
#11
15.20.7
10.911.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Third
9204
#37
6.10.2
6.66.7
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End0.1
red by 2.5
9735
#36
3.60.7
6.37.0
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed