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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4643354050555738

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#10
21.31.8
14.616.4
Auto11.3
Teleop8.9
End1.1
red by 6.3
6861
#24
15.10.2
13.613.4
Auto8.2
Teleop5.8
End1.0
Second
3538
#13
19.51.8
19.721.5
Auto7.1
Teleop10.8
End1.7
red by 4.5
6344
#18
15.00.2
14.914.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End2.2
Third
4961
#22
7.11.8
6.88.6
Auto3.1
Teleop2.7
End1.3
blue by 3.3
5860
#21
10.40.2
10.910.8
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed