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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323610204050601750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5424
#20
13.11.6
17.315.6
Auto6.3
Teleop4.3
End2.5
blue by 2.0
548
#16
15.20.8
14.215.0
Auto5.2
Teleop9.4
End0.5
Second
9685
#28
5.31.6
5.53.9
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End1.4
blue by 9.9
5167
#11
15.20.8
11.612.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End2.4
Third
9735
#36
3.61.6
7.05.3
Auto1.9
Teleop0.4
End1.2
blue by 3.7
5642
#26
7.30.8
6.77.6
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed