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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533101020406070805435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.4
16.116.6
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End1.3
red by 2.1
20.60.6
14.714.1
Auto9.4
Teleop8.7
End2.5
Second
14.30.4
15.115.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
red by 7.0
5478
#31
7.40.6
6.86.2
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End0.2
Third
7660
#23
11.60.4
13.814.3
Auto5.0
Teleop4.7
End1.9
red by 5.8
4384
#19
5.80.6
8.98.3
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed