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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32260102040503822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5561
#17
14.10.0
12.812.8
Auto6.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
red by 1.2
308
#14
13.00.2
12.111.8
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.0
Second
9455
#30
10.80.0
5.55.5
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End1.8
red by 4.7
9204
#37
6.10.2
6.76.5
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Third
7220
#34
6.80.0
9.69.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End1.5
red by 2.9
7813
#38
3.90.2
5.35.0
Auto2.0
Teleop1.4
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed