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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4243354045505560657039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.83.5
16.119.6
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End2.3
red by 11.5
14.30.7
15.614.9
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
Second
22.73.5
16.620.1
Auto8.2
Teleop13.2
End1.3
red by 8.5
5561
#17
14.10.7
12.812.2
Auto6.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
Third
9455
#30
10.83.5
5.59.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.0
End1.8
red by 0.2
8519
#33
10.60.7
10.69.9
Auto3.4
Teleop5.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed