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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402901020506070804937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.61.5
14.115.6
Auto9.4
Teleop8.7
End2.5
red by 2.7
1701
#15
17.91.0
16.217.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.0
End2.2
Second
6861
#24
15.11.5
13.415.0
Auto8.2
Teleop5.8
End1.0
red by 7.7
8364
#29
7.31.0
5.06.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Third
5642
#26
7.31.5
7.69.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End0.1
red by 1.2
9204
#37
6.11.0
6.57.5
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed