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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48462530354050552241

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5167
#11
15.22.3
13.511.1
Auto3.4
Teleop9.4
End2.4
blue by 13.0
67
#2
28.20.1
21.521.4
Auto10.4
Teleop12.1
End5.6
Second
14.32.3
15.613.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
red by 3.9
5860
#21
10.40.1
10.310.2
Auto4.4
Teleop6.0
End-0.0
Third
7220
#34
6.82.3
14.011.6
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End1.5
blue by 1.8
2224
#12
8.70.1
10.210.1
Auto3.6
Teleop4.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed