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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45433035405055605340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.91.2
18.319.5
Auto10.4
Teleop16.6
End1.8
red by 7.5
3322
#10
21.30.1
15.715.8
Auto11.3
Teleop8.9
End1.1
Second
308
#14
13.01.2
13.114.2
Auto4.7
Teleop6.2
End2.0
blue by 5.3
18.20.1
14.414.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.0
End1.2
Third
5478
#31
7.41.2
9.110.3
Auto4.6
Teleop2.6
End0.2
red by 0.1
5642
#26
7.30.1
9.39.4
Auto2.6
Teleop4.6
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed