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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453101020405060703822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.80.3
15.314.9
Auto10.7
Teleop12.9
End2.3
red by 16.5
8774
#27
9.30.8
9.08.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.0
End0.6
Second
5561
#17
14.10.3
14.414.1
Auto6.7
Teleop5.6
End1.8
red by 6.8
8364
#29
7.30.8
8.67.8
Auto3.2
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Third
9204
#37
6.10.3
9.49.0
Auto1.7
Teleop4.3
End0.1
red by 0.3
4384
#19
5.80.8
11.911.0
Auto1.7
Teleop3.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed